Mind and Self-Improvement

Critical Thinking and Decisions

Tools for reasoning clearly, weighing evidence and choosing well.

Correlation Is Not Causation

Why two things rising or falling together does not prove one causes the other, with plain examples of confounders, reverse causation and coincidence.

4 min read

Making Decisions Under Uncertainty

Simple decision frameworks for comparing options when information is incomplete: pros and cons, scenarios, reversibility, regret and expected outcomes.

4 min read

The Scientific Method in Everyday Life

How the habits of science, forming a hypothesis, testing it fairly and revising it, can help with everyday questions from sleep routines to household problems.

4 min read

Thinking in Probabilities

How to reason about likelihood instead of certainty: using degrees of confidence, base rates and updating, with simple hypothetical examples.

4 min read

Related topics

More in mind and self-improvement